Commons Confessions is a column by political journalist and author Marie Le Conte. Keep reading for more anonymous insight into British politics from those in the know.
ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL
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ON THE NATIONAL MOOD
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ON THE HIGH AND LOW POINTS SO FAR
ON THE MANIFESTOS
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ON WHAT HAPPENS NEXT
“My overall view is that we are looking at a Tory majority, but again it felt that way in 2017 and we ended up with a hung Parliament.”
“No one knows how the soft, traditionally Labour vote is going to break, because although Corbyn is toxic on the doorstep to many of them, in the end will they really vote Tory or even Brexit Party? Will enough of them vote Lib Dem where that is the only option to defeat a sitting Conservative – in Esher [Dominic Raab’s seat] for example, or in some London seats? This is the huge unknowable factor because in 2017 there was already a bit of resorting of Labour votes to Tory, but also a late Labour recovery.”“Will Lib Dem voters be able to overcome their distaste for Corbyn enough to vote anti-Tory in other places, even if the Labour MP is a moderate – not a Corbynite? This matters in university seats.”“I wouldn't be surprised if you get a Tory majority and a really big block of SNP, which means in the long run, goodbye UK, and in the short run, goodbye Europe.”@youngvulgarian